Igen, erre gondolok, wicca. Nem volt semmi jele, hogy a 7600 megfogná, ilyenkor simán lemegy az alatta lévő 50-ig, le is ment, de... No mindegy
Azért hajrá OTP :)
Üdv,
7600-on teljesült az OTP vételem ma reggel, nem mertem lejjebb tenni.
Szerintetek hiba volt a vétel? (Reggeli beesés után emelkedni szokott, kivéve mikor nem :))
Törjön le a kezem, ha még egyszer benn hagyom nyitáskor a stoppjaimat. 45k-n elvitték az összes Richimet. Grrrr....
Mondjuk 40500-ról, meg 42500-ról voltak, úgyhogy inkább csendben maradok. :)))
Valaki tudna nekem mondani egy Richi real könyvet pls?
Törölt felhasználó2006. 04. 12. 08:26
Előzmény:
törölt hozzászólás
#64022
big decline in the index of small business optimism compiled
by the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB)
reported for March gives more credence to the drop in the ISM
survey reported last week. The NFIB decline was accompanied
by a large increase in the inventory component, which now
stands at the highest level since March 2005 and is higher
than at any other time since August 2000.
* The decline in the NFIB and ISM indexes is occurring about 12
months into the positive inventory cycle that started in March
2005. Historically, such cycles have lasted between 10 and 17
months. While it is probably still a bit too early to be
sounding the alarm bells, the recent moves reinforce our
confidence that the seeds of slower industrial growth have
already been sown, at a time when the financial markets are
still mostly worried about economic overheating.
Is the Industrial Cycle Peaking?
We have been bullish on the industrial cycle since last summer.
Our main rationale was that the inventory cycle was turning more
positive following a drop of inventory accumulation into negative
territory (see for example, 'Factory Acceleration Gets Underway,'
US Economics Analyst, 05/31, August 5, 2005). When inventories
are declining, that means the level of production is running
below the level of demand. Thus, as long as demand growth is
decent (or better), goods producers ultimately have no choice but
to increase their output, orders, and employment. Indeed, over
the past 6-9 months, the financial markets have embraced a more
upbeat view on the industrial economy, with interest rates moving
higher and growth-sensitive equities outperforming the broader
market.
However, while the inventory cycle is a powerful positive, it is
usually fairly short-lived. We recently made this point in
somewhat more systematic form by looking at the peak-to-trough
duration of upturns in the year-on-year growth rate of the
shipments/inventories ratio in durable goods manufacturing (see
'How Much More Juice from the Inventory Cycle?' Daily Financial
Market Comment, February 23, 2006). Since the early 1990s -- the
longest period for which we have consistent data series on
durable goods inventories and shipments -- the duration of the
cycle has ranged between 10 months and 17 months. As of the
February durable goods report, we are 11 months into the current
cycle. Thus, while it is probably still a tad early for the
turn, we clearly should be starting to think about the next
cyclical deceleration.
Today's news of a big decline in March in the index of small
business optimism, compiled by the National Federation of
Independent Business (NFIB), supports the idea that factory
momentum may be peaking. The headline index dropped by 3.5
points, to 98.0 from 101.5. This is the second-biggest decline
on record, exceeded only by the decline seen in September 2001.
(The monthly data go back to 1986.) Moreover, the index now
stands at the lowest level since March 2003, just before the big
growth acceleration later that year.
TIPPSAROK