RIG, ha hajszallal is, de kitort 8.60 folott zart. Egy +9% impulzussal indulo wave(iii) igen jo kilatas lehet a kovetkezo hetekre. . http://keptarhely.eu/view.php?file=20190422v00putvxg.jpeg . AZ OIH oilservice Index +2.5%, es most a tengeri furosok (DO +8%, ESV +5%) miatt emelkedett, a szarazfoldiek joval a Brent aremelkedesnel kevesebbet mozdultak. Az Olajtanker ceg, Frontline FRO is kitoresben van . http://keptarhely.eu/view.php?file=20190422v00p1t7p7.jpeg
1)Ma HAL jelentett, es jot. Az olajszerviz mufaj 2. legnagyobb cege, es most elerte a varakozasokat is, Q1ben a profit 0.17/sh, a tavalyi 0.05/sh, ahhoz kepest haromszoros net profit. Egyelore +3% premarket. A piacrol pozitiv a velemenyuk, az intl kereslet eros, es az USA pricing is tul van a melyponton. . 2)A bejelentett Iran embargo minek hasznal a legtobbet az olaj piacon? Ha most nem kezdenek felebredni, hogy uj olajmezokre szukseg van, akkor mikor? Szerintem 2019H2-ben el fog kezdeni beomleni az uj hosszutavu megrendeles a furosokhoz. Most RIG +2.6% . A masodik otlet az olajtanker cegek. Ha Iranbol nem lehet szallitani Azsiaba, akkor valahonnan messzebbrol kell, felteve hogy OPEC csak keveset fog adni nekik. Akkor Brazil partok, Guayana, Gulf, es WestAfrica jon szoba, dehat azok negyszer (4x) messzebb vannak, szoval a szalliatasi kapacitas a hosszabb utvonalak miatt (is) keves lesz. Akkor nehez lesz a kovetkezo evekre olcson tanker kapacitast lekotni.
SINGAPORE (Reuters) - Oil prices rallied by about 3 percent on Monday to their highest since late 2018 as the United States was set to announce that all imports of Iranian oil must end or be subject to sanctions. . http://keptarhely.eu/view.php?file=20190422v00pecavu.jpeg . Brent futures rose as much as 3.3 percent to $74.31 a barrel, the highest since Nov. 1, before easing back to $73.82 by 0452 GMT, up 2.6 percent from their last close. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures climbed by as much as 2.9 percent to $65.87 per barrel, the most since Oct. 31, and were at $65.38 at 0452 GMT, up 2.6 percent from their last close. News that the United States is preparing to announce on Monday that current buyers of Iranian oil would no longer be given waivers to current sanctions was first reported on Sunday by Washington Post foreign policy and national security columnist Josh Rogin. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo will announce "that, as of May 2, the State Department will no longer grant sanctions waivers to any country that is currently importing Iranian crude or condensate", Rogin said, citing two State Department officials that he did not name. A person familiar with the situation told Reuters the report was accurate, although a State Department spokesman declined to comment. In March, Iran was the fourth-largest producer among the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) at 2.75 million barrels per day (bpd) though exports have shrunk to about 1 million bpd since sanctions were reimposed in November. The U.S. put the sanctions back on Iranian oil exports after President Donald Trump unilaterally pulled out of a 2015 nuclear accord between Iran and six world powers. Washington, however, granted Iran's eight main buyers of oil, mostly in Asia, waivers to the sanctions which allowed them limited purchases for six months. Analysts criticized the end to the exemptions, which would hit Asian buyers the hardest. "This is not a good policy for Trump," said Takayuki Nogami, chief economist at Japan Oil, Gas and Metals National Corporation (JOGMEC), adding that "concerns over tightening global oil supply and lower excess production capacity are expected to bolster oil prices higher." He added that Brent prices are likely to rise toward $86.29 a barrel, the highest price it reached in 2018, while WTI may climb to $76.41.
Az a helyzet, hogy az SPY, DOW es NASDAQ indexeket nezzuk allandoan. De van meg 4 Index, amik egyenkent szinten a piac jo nagy szeleteit fedik le. Most egyszer erdemes ranezni RUSSELL 2000, RUSSELL3000, A MIDCAP es a SMALLCAP indexekre. Ezek sokkal gyengebbek mint a masik 3, es igen erosek koztuk a divergenciak. Es most eppen valami lefordulasra keszulodnek. . http://keptarhely.eu/view.php?file=20190421v00pujsvz.jpeg . http://keptarhely.eu/view.php?file=20190421v00p1qds2.jpeg
Előfordulhat más verzió is persze. Viszont mielőtt azt gondolod, hogy a piacot érdekli az, hogy mihez mi illik, akkor nem fogsz előrébb jutni. Húsvéti jótanács.
SP-nek valami erős negatív funda kéne ahhoz, hogy esetleg egy korrekcióval vagy anélkül innen ne menjen világgá. Jelenleg bull piac van, amíg más ezt nem mutatja.
Hát ez az. SP-nél mindjárt ATH és még mindig van aki B-nek jelöli. Van ahol már 5. hullám. Ennyi erővel a DAX is mehetne új csúcsra? Flat alakzatra lehet jellemző az új csúcs majd durván le. Egyenlőre úgy tűnik az SP nélkül nem akar esni.
B hullám nem lehet a DAX-nál és SP-nél a mostani emelkedés? Egy elemző az SP hullámára B-t mond. Szerinte strukturálatlan, érdemleges pullback nélküli, éles emelkedés, hullám, ami B-re utal.
Financial Forecasts
cimu topic folytatasa. Minden fenti temaba vago hozzaszolast szivesen latunk.